CJ 4530, PS 4400 - The War on Drugs



Major Sources of Data on Drug Use

1) National Household Survey on Drug Abuse (NHSDA)
by Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMHSA) yearly since 1979
survey of people age 12 years and older

2) Monitoring the Future Survey
by National Institute on Drug Abuse (NIDA) yearly since 1975
survey of high school students in 8th, 10th, 12th grade

3) Survey of Health Related Behavior Among Military Personnel
by Department of Defense every three years since 1980
survey of military personnel

4) Drug Abuse Warning Network (DAWN)
by National Institute on Drug Abuse (NIDA) yearly since 1992
mentions of drug use by patients in emergency rooms

5) Survey of Inmates in State Correctional Facilities
by Bureau of Justice Statistics (BJS) every five years since 1974
survey of inmates

6) Arrestee Drug Abuse Monitoring (ADAM)
by National Institute on Justice (NIJ) yearly since 1987
survey and drug testing of arrestees in 34 cities



Claims-Making

Compare the following CLAIMS by the US government using the same data we use, against the alternative conclusions we provide using the data presented in your readings, in class, and on the web site.  Then, make up your mind who is right ...
 

A) Office of National Drug Control Policy (ONDCP) claims in "The Drug War Today" that: "Since 1985, all major drugs show a substantial decline in the level of current use."

Alternative conclusion: There is virtually no change in the percentage of past month drug users in the United States for more than 10 years
 
 

B) ONDCP claims that: "Since 1979, current drug use is down substantially."

Alternative conclusion: There is virtually no change in the number of past month drug users in the United States for more than 10 years
 
 

C) ONDCP claims that: "Current use of marijuana is substantially lower since 1979."

Alternative conclusion: There is virtually no change in the number of past month marijuana users in the United States for more than 10 years
 
 

D) ONDCP claims that: "Since 1985, current use of cocaine also is down significantly."

Alternative conclusion: There is virtually no change in the number of past month cocaine users in the United States for more than 10 years
 
 

E) ONDCP claims that: "Current heroin use in the household population is still low, and recent fluctuations are not statistically significant."

Alternative conclusion: There is virtually no change in the number of past month heroin users in the United States for more than 10 years
 
 

F) ONDCP claims that: "While drug use is still unacceptably high, 2000 is the fourth year without significant changes in the current use of "Any Illicit Drug."

Alternative conclusion: Past month drug use among high school students has increased over the past 10 years
 
 

G) ONDCP claims that: "Prevention Efforts Are Working - Current Drug Use Among Those Aged 12-17 Declined 21 Percent Between 1997 and 1999"

Alternative conclusion: Prevention efforts cannot be judged over a 3 year period, especially with only one age group
 
 

H) "However, Current Use of Any Illicit Drug Among Those Aged 18-25 Has Risen."

Alternative conclusion: Prevention efforts are not working to stop past month drug use in the United States among young people
 
 

I) "The data clearly indicate that while we have had success with those aged 12-17, we still have much to do for those in the 18-25 year old age group."


 

Alternative conclusion: Prevention efforts are not working to stop past month drug use in the United States among young people
 
 

J) ONDCP claims: "Marijuana initiation shows a downturn, but cocaine, hallucinogens, and methamphetamine initiates are trending upwards."

Alternative conclusion: Prevention efforts are not working to stop new initiates into using drugs among young people
 


Drug Use Facts and Trends in the United States

Examine the following facts about drug use and drug use trends in the United States from each of the main data sources listed above.  See the major conclusions we provide using the data presented in your readings, in class, and on the web site.  Then, think about whether the drug war is working to reduce drug use and related problems ...
 

1) National Household Survey on Drug Abuse (NHSDA)

Trend: Drug use increased from 1979 to 2001 (from 31% to 42%)

The increase is almost entirely attributable to increase in use among those 35 years and older

Past year drug use decreased from 1979 to 2001 (from 18% to 13%)

Past month drug use decreased from 1979 to 2001 (from 14% to 7%)

Domestic drug consumption for cocaine (but no other drug) is down from 1988 to 2000


 

Conclusion: Americans appear to be using less total cocaine but total consumption is unchanged for other drugs in the United States over the past 10 years
 

Death by drug induced causes increased from 1979 to 1999 (from 7,101 to 19,102, or 3.2 per 100,000 to 7 per 100,000)
 


 

Conclusion: Drug related deaths have increased in the United States for more than 10 years
 
 

Use: 2000: 87 million Americans 12 years or older used an illicit drug at least once in life (38% of population)

2001: 109 million current users of alcohol (48%)

25.1 million people DUI (11%)

10.1 million underage drinkers (29% of under 21 years)

67 million tobacco users (30%)

15.9 million past month users of any illicit drug (7.1%)

Most illicit drug use is marijuana


 

Conclusion: Most drug use in the United States is of LEGAL DRUGS; the most widely used illegal drug is marijuana
 

12 million past month marijuana users (5.4%)

3.5 million past month pain reliever users

1.7 million past month cocaine users (0.7%)

1.4 million past month tranquillizer users

1 million past month other stimulant users

780,000 past month ecstasy users

600,000 past month other hallucinogen users

300,000 past month other sedative users

123,000 past month heroin users
 

2000 new initiates:

5 million alcohol

2.8 million cigarettes

2.4 million marijuana (average age 17.5 years)

Conclusion: The war on drugs has not stopped young people from becoming new users of marijuana over the past 35 years
 
 

2 million pain relievers

Conclusion: The war on drugs has not stopped young people from becoming new users of numerous other drugs over the past 35 years
 

1.5 million other hallucinogens

1.3 million ecstasy


 

Conclusion: The war on drugs has not stopped young people from becoming new users of numerous other drugs over the past 35 years
 

900,000 cocaine (average age 20 years)

146,000 heroin
 

Use higher for teenagers and young adults
 

Conclusion: Past month drug use in the United States is mostly a young person phenomenon (drug use is normal for young people in recreational situations)
 

Use higher for males than females, people with less education and employment, in West and in cities, use a good predictor of criminal justice system involvement

Use relatively equal between Whites and Blacks
 

Conclusion: There is no difference in past month drug use in the United States between blacks and whites
 

According to SAMHSA, 16.6 million people age 12 years or older are drug dependent / drug abusers (11 million on alcohol)
SAMHSA reports that dependence increased from 2000 to 2001
 

2) Monitoring the Future Survey

Trend: Drug use among high school seniors down from 1975 to 2001 but increasing since early 1990s

Conclusion: Past month drug use among high school seniors has increased in the United States over the past 10 years
 

Drug use among 8th and 10th graders up from 1991 to 2001 for any drug, marijuana, and cocaine

Conclusion: Past month drug use among 8th and 10th graders has increased in the United States over the past 10 years
 

Ecstasy use widely up but heroin, LSD down

Conclusion: Ecstasy is increasingly the drug of choice for young people in the United States
 
 

Perceptions of seriousness of drugs down in 1990s

Disapproval of drugs down in 1990s

Drugs widely available (89% say marijuana easily obtainable)

Conclusion: The war on drugs has not made illegal drugs hard to obtain for young people in the United States
 
 

Alcohol and tobacco use widely prevalent

Conclusion: The United States has a major drug problem with alcohol and tobacco – legal drugs
 

Alcohol and tobacco use are gateways to illicit drug use

Conclusion: The first steps to the stepping stone hypothesis, or the first gates of the gateway hypothesis, are tobacco and alcohol – legal drugs
 

SAMHSA claims: "The rate of past moth illicit drug use among youths and adults was higher among those who were current cigarette or alcohol users compared with those who did not use these substances ... In 2001, the rate of current illicit drug use was approximately 9 times higher among youths who smoked cigarettes (48.0%) than it was among youth who did not (5.3%) ... Illicit drug use also was associated with the level of alcohol use. Among youths who were heavy drinkers in 2001, 65.3 percent also were current illicit drug users, whereas among nondrinkers, the rate was only 5.1 percent."
 

Use: 2001: 54% tried any illicit drug by high school graduation

80% tried alcohol by high school graduation (50% in past month)

61% tried cigarettes by high school graduation

12th graders: 26% past month use for any illicit drug (marijuana 22%, cocaine 2.1%))

10th graders: 23% past month use for any illicit drug (marijuana 20%)

8th graders: 12% past month for any illicit drug (marijuana 9%)

Ketamine - 2.5% seniors past year use

GHB - 1.6% seniors past year use
 

Use higher for males than females, Whites than Blacks, those not college-bound, in Northeast and West
 

3) Survey of Health Related Behavior Among Military Personnel

Trend: Drastic declines in drug use among military personnel from 1980 to 1998

Conclusion: Military personnel are far less likely to admit to drug use than in the past 20 years
 

Use: 1998: 6% past year use for any illicit drug; 2.7% past month use

Most used illicit drug in past month is marijuana (1.4%)
 

4) Drug Abuse Warning Network (DAWN)

Trend: Total numbers of mentions of drug use up dramatically for cocaine, heroin, and marijuana from 1978 to 2001

Conclusion: The total of self-reported mentions of drug use in hospital emergency rooms has increased in the United States over the past 20 years
 

Use: 2001: 638,484 total mentions

Cocaine accounts for 30% of all mentions
 

Conclusion: The largest increase in the total of self-reported mentions of drug use in hospital emergency rooms is for marijuana; only half of the mentions are for cocaine, heroin, or marijuana
 
 

5) Survey of Inmates in State Correctional Facilities

Trend: Drug use generally unchanged over past month and at time of offense from 1986 to 1997

Increase in drug use among Federal inmates from 1991 to 1997 (from 32% to 45% past month use and from 17% to 22% for time of offense use)

Largest increase in drug use among Federal inmates for marijuana use (from 19% to 30% past month use and from 6 to 11% for time of offense use)
 

Use: 1997: 57% prior month use for any illicit drug (39% for marijuana, 25% for cocaine)

33% time of offense drug use for any illicit drug (15% for marijuana, 15% for cocaine)
 


 

Conclusion: Drug use is common among street criminals (although the pharmacological effects of drugs are not associated with a large share of actual criminality)
 
 

6) Arrestee Drug Abuse Monitoring (ADAM)

Use: 1999: range from 50-77% of adult male arrestees test positive for some drug in nation's large cities